← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.01+4.44vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.28+6.12vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin3.04+6.18vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.05+4.68vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota2.01+7.77vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.38+1.56vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.61+3.66vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College3.14+0.46vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.05vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.85-0.05vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.70vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.97-2.43vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.90-3.64vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.92-4.91vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.67-4.66vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.82vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston3.71-10.56vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College0.24-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.44Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.12Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
9.18University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
8.68Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
12.77University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
7.56Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.66Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
8.46Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
9.95Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
6.3U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.57Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.36University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.09Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.34George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
6.44College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
16.84Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 8.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Mary Hall | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Maeve White | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 3.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.