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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.56vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+7.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.35vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+4.40vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.00vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04+2.89vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+2.75vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.80vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.01+3.13vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-0.15vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-3.73vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-7.86vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.36vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-7.54vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.92-6.46vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-6.48vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.24-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.4Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.8Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.5University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.85Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.54Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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16.79Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Mary Hall | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 22.9% | 9.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 2.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Maeve White | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.