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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.41vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.44vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+8.42vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+3.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+0.23vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67+4.43vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+2.47vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.46vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+0.67vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-2.24vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.01+1.14vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.26vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-3.69vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.92-5.63vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.92vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-8.01vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.24-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.44College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.23Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.47University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.46Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.67Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.76Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.37Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.74Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.37Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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16.82Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.2% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 24.6% | 9.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Maeve White | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Liana Folger | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.