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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.42vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.90+7.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.74vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.94vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.47vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+3.73vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-1.80vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-1.78vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+0.41vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+1.27vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.28-2.90vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-2.47vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-2.77vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.43vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.01-2.15vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.61-5.28vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-7.94vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.24-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.72University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.47Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.73Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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5.2Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.22College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.41Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.1Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.53Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.23George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.57Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.72Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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16.8Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maeve White | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 22.0% | 7.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 75.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.