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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+9.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+5.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+6.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+2.41vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.63-0.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-0.62vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+0.46vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.67vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32+0.08vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.93-2.96vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.47+1.42vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-2.22vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-1.76vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.18-1.71vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.03-5.68vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-4.67vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.82-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.9Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.56Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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5.38Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.04College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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12.42George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.78University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.24Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.25Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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10.32Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.33Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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17.06Middlebury College-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 18.3% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Gibson | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madison Oleson | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 4.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 1.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 25.1% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 3.7% |
| Margaret Weber | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 79.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.