← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.77+5.82vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.97+4.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.59+4.42vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.74+3.00vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University3.26+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.13-0.21vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.55-2.46vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.70-1.84vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92-4.65vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.56vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.75-6.00vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College1.85-3.90vs Predicted
-
15Bates College1.32-3.47vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire1.71-5.73vs Predicted
-
17McGill University0.54-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.11Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.42University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
-
7.0University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
-
5.45Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
5.79Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
4.54Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
-
7.16Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
-
11.44Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.0Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.1Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
-
11.53Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
-
10.27University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
-
13.02McGill University0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Kurzrok | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Price | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Moakes | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Mumma | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 16.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Rohman | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Rian Bareuther | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| James Altreuter | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 5.6% |
| Edward Moan | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 19.0% |
| Justin Marks | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 7.0% |
| Natalie Fohl | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 18.8% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.