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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicole Ostapowicz 5.5% 7.1% 7.6% 8.3% 8.5% 9.7% 13.7% 19.4% 14.1% 5.0% 1.1%
Ashton Loring 15.8% 14.2% 15.1% 12.2% 12.6% 12.3% 8.6% 6.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Lyla Solway 10.4% 10.8% 9.6% 10.5% 12.2% 12.0% 13.8% 11.9% 6.6% 2.1% 0.1%
Laura Smith 11.2% 10.3% 12.3% 12.0% 11.3% 12.4% 11.1% 11.7% 6.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Caitlin Derby 9.6% 11.2% 10.4% 11.9% 12.6% 13.5% 12.4% 10.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Lina Carper 19.1% 18.2% 14.4% 14.9% 12.8% 7.9% 7.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Hayden Clary 16.0% 15.2% 16.2% 14.6% 12.2% 10.3% 7.8% 4.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 8.5% 8.8% 9.9% 11.2% 11.5% 13.2% 14.0% 13.2% 7.1% 2.4% 0.1%
Emma Retzlaff 1.7% 2.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 5.2% 7.9% 24.1% 29.7% 20.8%
Kinsey Gore 1.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 4.3% 12.2% 25.1% 46.5%
Nora Ciak 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 3.2% 3.5% 6.2% 18.5% 30.4% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.