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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.18+11.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+2.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.00vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.72+5.46vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.66vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-0.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32+0.06vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+0.71vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-5.52vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.67-3.89vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-2.90vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-2.06vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-5.64vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.47-3.59vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.93-10.06vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.82-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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13.56University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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11.46Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.71Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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5.48Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.94Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.41George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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17.09Middlebury College-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 25.1% | 5.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Madison Oleson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 4.3% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Weber | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.