← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.63+3.74vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+7.34vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.47+9.55vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.32vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.35+0.37vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.24+3.38vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.50+5.18vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.76-0.62vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.97+1.46vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston2.93-2.98vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.32-1.77vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.01-5.19vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.03-2.91vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.61vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.72-3.61vs Predicted
-
16Yale University2.67-8.15vs Predicted
-
17University of Minnesota1.18-3.57vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-0.82-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.74Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
-
9.34U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
12.55George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
-
6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.37Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.38University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
12.18Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.38Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.46Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
7.02College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.23Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
6.81Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
10.09Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
10.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
11.39Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
7.85Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
13.43University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
-
17.08Middlebury College-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 15.9% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Madison Oleson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 3.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Gibson | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 25.0% | 6.3% |
| Margaret Weber | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.