← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.76+6.66vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota1.18+11.55vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.47+9.53vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.63+0.53vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.35vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.93+0.80vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.50+5.13vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.72+3.31vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.35-3.67vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.32-0.70vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.23vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.62vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.01-6.59vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.97-3.80vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida2.24-5.63vs Predicted
-
16Yale University2.67-8.10vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.03-6.61vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-0.82-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.66Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
13.55University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
-
12.53George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
-
4.53Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
-
6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.8College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
-
12.13Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
11.31Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
5.33Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.3Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
10.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
6.41Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
10.2Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
9.37University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
7.9Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
10.39Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
17.08Middlebury College-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 26.6% | 5.2% |
| Madison Oleson | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 4.6% |
| Lily Katz | 17.3% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 3.4% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Weber | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 8.0% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.