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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+5.80vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.72+9.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63+1.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.03+5.90vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+2.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-0.75vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.34+3.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-2.23vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.50vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-2.42vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.29vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-4.05vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-3.08vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.18-2.85vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.47-4.85vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.82-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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11.48Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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4.55Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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9.9Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.31Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.26Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.58University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.95Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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12.15George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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17.02Middlebury College-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Gibson | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Lily Katz | 15.4% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.7% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 3.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 2.5% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 6.1% |
| Madison Oleson | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 3.0% |
| Margaret Weber | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.