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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.34+11.56vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.18+11.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.30vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.93+2.52vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.84vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.03+2.94vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.24+1.13vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.74-1.70vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.61vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.24+1.82vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+0.25vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.63-8.63vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-4.08vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.67-7.46vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-4.73vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.82+0.09vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.01-11.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.56University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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5.3Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.13University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.82George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.25Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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4.37Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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9.92Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.54Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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17.09Middlebury College-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Poole | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 3.7% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 5.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Gibson | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 5.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 3.2% |
| Lily Katz | 17.1% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
| Margaret Weber | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 76.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.