Race 3B

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Trevor Burd 12.6% 12.2% 12.4% 11.4% 9.1% 10.4% 8.7% 6.1% 6.1% 3.3% 4.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Andrew Moakes 7.5% 9.5% 7.9% 7.2% 8.0% 8.8% 8.7% 9.2% 9.5% 8.3% 7.3% 4.1% 2.8% 1.2%
Rian Bareuther 10.6% 10.6% 9.3% 9.0% 10.0% 8.6% 9.0% 10.0% 7.1% 7.2% 4.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Andrew Kurzrok 7.5% 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 10.0% 9.2% 9.1% 7.9% 7.5% 7.3% 7.6% 3.7% 2.4% 0.5%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.8% 12.9% 13.1% 13.4% 9.4% 8.6% 8.3% 6.6% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.3%
James Altreuter 8.5% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 8.7% 9.7% 8.6% 7.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.2%
Hunter Mumma 10.1% 9.1% 9.6% 9.5% 8.7% 8.1% 8.2% 9.4% 7.9% 8.6% 5.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4%
Christopher Price 11.2% 11.3% 10.6% 9.8% 8.4% 9.0% 8.6% 7.5% 7.7% 6.3% 4.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Billy Rohman 8.1% 7.0% 7.5% 8.8% 8.5% 10.3% 9.8% 9.5% 7.7% 8.3% 6.6% 4.1% 3.1% 0.7%
Justin Marks 2.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 5.9% 5.8% 8.9% 7.9% 11.6% 15.8% 13.7% 9.4%
Nicholas Dragone 3.4% 3.1% 3.3% 4.2% 5.6% 5.2% 6.1% 7.2% 8.5% 9.3% 12.1% 12.3% 13.6% 6.1%
Tyler Nemsdale 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 5.7% 7.3% 11.8% 15.1% 19.5% 17.5%
Edward Moan 2.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 4.0% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 5.9% 9.4% 9.5% 16.3% 19.2% 16.4%
Natalie Fohl 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 5.0% 5.9% 9.6% 18.3% 46.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.