Race 10B

cnu-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 18.6% 18.9% 15.7% 13.1% 10.9% 9.2% 7.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 10.7% 10.3% 11.0% 11.2% 13.1% 12.7% 12.6% 11.1% 5.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Emma Retzlaff 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 3.1% 3.2% 4.0% 8.9% 23.4% 30.0% 20.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 9.3% 10.3% 9.7% 10.7% 11.3% 12.5% 13.1% 13.6% 7.1% 2.1% 0.2%
Lyla Solway 9.4% 9.2% 10.1% 11.5% 12.8% 12.8% 12.7% 12.0% 7.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Laura Smith 9.7% 11.1% 10.8% 12.3% 11.5% 12.6% 12.3% 11.3% 6.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Ashton Loring 17.0% 13.9% 15.5% 13.9% 12.4% 12.1% 8.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Hayden Clary 15.5% 15.3% 15.8% 14.3% 12.6% 10.1% 8.2% 5.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Nora Ciak 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 6.2% 16.8% 30.2% 33.1%
Nicole Ostapowicz 6.7% 6.8% 7.0% 8.2% 9.2% 10.3% 14.9% 17.6% 13.8% 4.8% 0.8%
Kinsey Gore 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 3.2% 4.9% 14.3% 26.1% 44.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.