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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+8.01vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+5.50vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+6.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+0.35vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.03+4.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-0.79vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.82vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.72+3.01vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.37vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-2.25vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.93-4.29vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-5.36vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.34-0.71vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-4.04vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-3.14vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.24-3.13vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.18-3.90vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.82-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.5Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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4.35Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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5.21Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.01Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.75Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.96Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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11.86Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.87George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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16.99Middlebury College-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Lily Katz | 17.9% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 4.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 2.6% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 5.3% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 5.9% |
| Margaret Weber | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.