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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Roger Williams University2.94+2.74vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.61+5.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57+1.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71-1.91vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.34+0.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.69-1.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.16-1.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-4.10vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-3.27vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.15-1.14vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.33-1.04vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.42-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.19-2.96vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.09Roger Williams University3.710.3%1st Place
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6.48Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.46Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.9Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.97Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.96University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.65McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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14.06Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Rolfe Glover | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 26.6% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 11.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 24.1% | 9.9% |
| Francis Guiton | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 22.5% | 8.6% |
| George Williams | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 25.0% | 12.2% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 15.1% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.