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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.23+5.68vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.94+2.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57+2.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+3.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69+0.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.61+2.56vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.42+4.38vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.16-2.00vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-7.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-6.03vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.34-5.41vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.33-1.06vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.19-1.84vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.15-5.22vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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4.68Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.56Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.38McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.0Roger Williams University3.710.3%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.94University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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14.05Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Needham | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Francis Guiton | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 7.9% |
| Amanda Sommi | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 29.0% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 5.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 24.7% | 9.9% |
| George Williams | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 26.1% | 13.9% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.