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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+2.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+5.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57+1.71vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94-0.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91-1.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.16-0.03vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.34-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23-2.22vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.61-1.50vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.69-5.44vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.33-0.26vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.42-1.25vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.15-4.06vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.19-2.98vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Roger Williams University3.710.3%1st Place
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7.8Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.71Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.76Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.56Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.74University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.75McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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9.94Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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14.07Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 28.3% | 23.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 12.9% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 11.5% |
| Francis Guiton | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 22.0% | 22.9% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| George Williams | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 27.0% | 11.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.