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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.34+5.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57+3.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+1.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+1.47vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71-1.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16+0.99vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.15+2.73vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23-1.20vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.42+2.52vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.61-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.33+0.76vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82-3.83vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.20+1.20vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.19-1.97vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-11.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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3.15Roger Williams University3.710.3%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.73Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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11.52McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.76University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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8.17Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.2Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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4.86Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Champa | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 27.0% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Francis Guiton | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 21.9% | 5.3% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 23.9% | 11.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Earl Lin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 70.1% |
| George Williams | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 27.0% | 10.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.