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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Roger Williams University2.94+2.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.82+4.84vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+1.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71-2.82vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.34-0.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.16-1.07vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-4.12vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.69-4.58vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.15-1.16vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.61-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.33-1.07vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.42-2.33vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.19-2.97vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.84Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.75Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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3.18Roger Williams University3.710.3%1st Place
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6.45Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.88Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.42Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.84Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.57Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.93University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.67McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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14.05Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 26.3% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 24.3% | 9.8% |
| Francis Guiton | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 8.7% |
| George Williams | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 24.8% | 12.2% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 15.0% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.