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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+2.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+5.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+1.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69+0.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.57-0.12vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.34-0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23-1.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.16-2.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-5.13vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.33+0.80vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.15-2.19vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.61-4.28vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.19-1.84vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.42-3.46vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Roger Williams University3.710.3%1st Place
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7.85Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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4.68Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.46Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.46Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.8University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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11.54McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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14.05Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 28.6% | 21.7% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 13.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Sommi | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 9.6% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| George Williams | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 26.9% | 14.0% |
| Francis Guiton | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 7.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 14.2% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.