Race 7A

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Franco Bilik 10.7% 9.6% 11.1% 10.9% 11.0% 10.3% 7.8% 8.6% 6.6% 4.9% 3.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Michael Gemperline 12.7% 14.8% 13.1% 11.0% 10.9% 9.2% 8.2% 6.9% 5.5% 3.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Champa 6.7% 6.9% 9.6% 7.8% 9.4% 8.3% 8.7% 10.0% 10.1% 7.3% 6.7% 4.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Mackenzie Needham 5.3% 5.9% 9.0% 9.3% 6.6% 7.9% 9.9% 8.4% 9.3% 9.1% 8.2% 5.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Rolfe Glover 8.3% 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 10.0% 8.9% 10.7% 10.6% 8.0% 6.4% 5.0% 3.5% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Amanda Sommi 5.1% 6.5% 6.0% 6.0% 7.7% 10.1% 9.1% 10.8% 9.6% 10.1% 8.2% 5.1% 3.7% 1.4% 0.6%
Martim Anderson 26.2% 21.3% 15.7% 13.2% 9.1% 5.4% 3.9% 2.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 5.8% 6.6% 6.8% 7.5% 11.0% 11.0% 12.5% 11.4% 8.6% 2.7%
MaryClaire Kiernan 11.6% 11.8% 11.8% 13.1% 10.7% 10.8% 9.9% 7.4% 5.3% 3.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 3.8% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 6.5% 5.3% 8.5% 8.9% 11.0% 10.5% 10.7% 9.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.7%
Matthew Miranda 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 3.4% 4.8% 4.3% 5.6% 6.8% 8.3% 10.4% 13.2% 14.1% 13.4% 6.3%
Matteo Alampi 2.9% 1.6% 3.5% 4.0% 6.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.4% 8.1% 11.4% 12.6% 12.3% 10.6% 5.6% 2.0%
Judas Taylor 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.6% 6.3% 9.1% 14.6% 22.1% 29.0%
George Williams 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 1.7% 1.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.7% 9.9% 13.5% 21.3% 31.8%
Francis Guiton 0.7% 1.5% 0.8% 2.2% 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 5.2% 6.5% 10.3% 14.0% 20.7% 25.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.