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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+3.91vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+1.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.34+3.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.16+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+1.08vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.82+1.26vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.61+0.89vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-3.91vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut0.19+2.67vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.42+1.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.57-5.90vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.15-2.51vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.69-8.15vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.33-2.71vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University1.45-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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3.08Roger Williams University3.710.3%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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8.26Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.89Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.67University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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12.15McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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6.1Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.49Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.85Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.29University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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9.31Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 27.9% | 22.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 32.5% |
| Francis Guiton | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 24.9% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 7.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 21.5% | 27.8% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.