Race 9A

susan-rogers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adra Ivancich 12.7% 11.2% 13.6% 12.8% 12.0% 10.2% 10.3% 7.3% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.2%
Deana Fedulova 13.6% 14.7% 14.9% 14.0% 12.0% 11.8% 7.6% 5.5% 3.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Sophia Mulvania 28.7% 24.0% 15.4% 12.3% 8.9% 5.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Mason 3.3% 5.4% 4.5% 5.0% 6.9% 8.2% 9.0% 10.1% 12.5% 12.1% 14.7% 8.5%
Annika VanderHorst 8.1% 9.8% 10.1% 10.8% 11.0% 11.9% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 5.0% 3.2% 0.9%
Sabrina Starck 11.8% 12.2% 12.3% 12.4% 11.7% 11.1% 10.3% 7.2% 5.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Nicole Ostapowicz 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.0% 8.8% 10.1% 11.3% 12.4% 15.3% 9.0%
Esme Gonzalez 3.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 7.3% 6.2% 10.4% 11.2% 11.5% 12.8% 12.9% 9.8%
Gentry Schneider 1.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 2.8% 3.6% 5.2% 6.2% 9.8% 14.6% 48.7%
Sadie Yoder 4.3% 4.0% 4.9% 6.9% 6.6% 8.1% 9.2% 9.8% 10.6% 14.5% 13.4% 8.0%
Keelyn Brink 4.5% 5.1% 7.1% 6.6% 7.6% 9.2% 9.2% 11.0% 11.6% 11.2% 10.4% 6.4%
Nikita Troast 4.0% 3.8% 5.3% 5.8% 7.0% 8.1% 8.7% 11.0% 12.8% 13.6% 11.8% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.