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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+6.66vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.68+6.19vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+5.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.76vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+1.57vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.83+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.80+3.32vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50+0.22vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.61-5.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.51vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.41vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.54-4.05vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-6.03vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.93-3.84vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.60-0.99vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.35-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.19Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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5.31Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.06Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.77Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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4.91College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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15.01Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 8.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Allison Blecher | 14.6% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Megan Magill | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 52.1% |
| Christina Baker | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 20.7% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.