Race 11B

cnu-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Laura Smith 10.0% 11.1% 10.8% 11.3% 12.7% 12.8% 11.7% 11.3% 6.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Lina Carper 20.1% 15.2% 16.0% 14.1% 11.8% 9.7% 7.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicole Ostapowicz 6.5% 8.6% 7.3% 7.2% 10.4% 10.5% 13.9% 16.0% 14.1% 4.7% 0.8%
Nora Ciak 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 6.5% 18.1% 30.2% 31.0%
Lyla Solway 11.1% 9.6% 9.6% 12.4% 11.6% 12.9% 12.2% 12.4% 5.8% 2.3% 0.2%
Hayden Clary 15.2% 17.3% 14.8% 13.2% 12.3% 10.6% 7.8% 5.5% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Emma Retzlaff 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.6% 2.1% 3.4% 4.6% 8.1% 23.6% 29.2% 21.6%
Caitlin Derby 10.3% 11.8% 11.3% 12.0% 12.0% 12.3% 12.2% 10.8% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Izzy Wu-Karr 10.0% 9.4% 10.0% 9.6% 10.7% 12.7% 13.9% 13.6% 7.8% 2.4% 0.1%
Ashton Loring 13.5% 13.5% 16.3% 14.5% 13.1% 10.7% 9.8% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Kinsey Gore 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 3.2% 5.5% 11.8% 27.1% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.