← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.97+3.34vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.97+4.96vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.38+0.42vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.79+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.05+1.85vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.33+0.09vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.28-0.84vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.52-2.44vs Predicted
-
9Yale University0.62+1.61vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.23-3.55vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.51-2.60vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut-0.18+0.42vs Predicted
-
14Wesleyan University-0.24-1.50vs Predicted
-
15McGill University0.07-3.18vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-1.06-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.34Roger Williams University2.970.2%1st Place
-
6.96Roger Williams University1.970.0%1st Place
-
3.42Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
-
4.79Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
6.85Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.09Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.16Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.56University of Rhode Island2.520.1%1st Place
-
10.61Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
-
6.45Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
8.4Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
-
12.42University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
12.5Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
11.82McGill University0.070.0%1st Place
-
13.63University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Beatty | 22.9% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Shane Baker | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 21.9% | 23.1% | 16.7% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 20.1% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 10.9% |
| Nicole Plona | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.