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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+2.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.52+2.46vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+3.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+1.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28+0.23vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.79-2.19vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.51+0.34vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33-2.97vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.07+1.82vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-4.09vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.62-1.22vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.24-0.49vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-2.74vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.06-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.33Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Rhode Island2.520.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.4Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.23Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.81Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.34Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.82McGill University0.070.0%1st Place
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6.91Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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10.78Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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12.51Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 24.4% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 14.9% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 10.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 20.5% |
| Shane Baker | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 16.1% |
| Nicole Plona | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.