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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+2.32vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+3.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.52+0.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+0.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.51+1.31vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.28-1.79vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.38-5.60vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.62+0.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-6.03vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.07-0.03vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.24-0.48vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-2.73vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.06-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.32Roger Williams University2.970.2%1st Place
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6.77Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island2.520.1%1st Place
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6.1Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.31Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.21Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.4Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.64Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.97Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.97McGill University0.070.0%1st Place
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12.52Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.62University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Eger | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 16.1% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 21.5% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| Sam Alexander | 11.6% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 21.8% | 20.3% | 10.6% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 20.5% |
| Shane Baker | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 16.2% |
| Nicole Plona | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 22.2% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.