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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+3.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+4.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.52+1.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+1.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38-2.57vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.51+1.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05-1.24vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.07+2.51vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79-5.12vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-3.92vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.62-1.39vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.20+0.65vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.26-1.86vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.29-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.18Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Rhode Island2.520.1%1st Place
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6.04Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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3.43Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.17Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.76Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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11.51McGill University0.070.0%1st Place
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4.88Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.61Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.65Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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13.65University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 21.5% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 23.4% | 21.9% | 14.4% | 4.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 28.5% | 40.7% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 24.8% | 20.5% | 10.4% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 27.7% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.