Race 5B

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Price 10.2% 11.9% 12.0% 9.1% 11.0% 8.8% 9.6% 6.9% 5.8% 5.9% 4.5% 2.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Rian Bareuther 11.0% 10.5% 11.2% 10.5% 8.3% 9.5% 9.2% 9.7% 7.2% 4.8% 4.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Hunter Mumma 8.7% 9.0% 8.6% 8.7% 7.2% 9.5% 9.5% 8.3% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 3.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.2% 14.5% 12.3% 11.3% 10.5% 9.7% 8.1% 6.7% 5.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
James Altreuter 7.1% 7.7% 9.6% 9.0% 10.4% 9.1% 8.6% 8.1% 9.0% 7.6% 7.0% 3.6% 2.6% 0.6%
Justin Marks 2.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 3.5% 5.5% 6.7% 7.7% 10.4% 11.4% 14.9% 14.0% 9.4%
Andrew Kurzrok 10.0% 9.7% 8.9% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 7.5% 10.5% 6.9% 7.4% 5.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Trevor Burd 13.6% 12.9% 10.2% 11.3% 8.9% 10.4% 6.4% 6.9% 7.3% 5.1% 3.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Billy Rohman 8.2% 6.0% 9.3% 8.7% 8.5% 8.4% 10.5% 8.7% 9.7% 7.1% 7.6% 4.0% 2.8% 0.5%
Nicholas Dragone 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 3.4% 5.1% 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.2% 10.3% 11.9% 13.6% 11.8% 7.5%
Andrew Moakes 7.3% 6.9% 6.1% 8.8% 8.8% 7.9% 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 7.9% 7.7% 5.8% 4.0% 0.6%
Tyler Nemsdale 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.6% 2.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.9% 7.5% 11.4% 15.7% 20.0% 16.6%
Edward Moan 2.4% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 4.6% 3.5% 6.0% 9.0% 9.8% 15.8% 20.0% 16.0%
Natalie Fohl 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 2.2% 3.0% 5.3% 6.3% 10.6% 16.5% 47.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.