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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.32+2.34vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.44+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.45-0.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.30+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.59-1.80vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Princeton University-0.3213.8%1st Place
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2.03Columbia University0.4442.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Maryland-0.4518.9%1st Place
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4.07SUNY Stony Brook-1.308.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Delaware-0.5915.0%1st Place
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5.39Monmouth University-2.582.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Mraz | 13.8% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 22.5% | 21.0% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 42.1% | 28.8% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Grigg | 18.9% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Dimont | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 34.8% | 15.2% |
| Olivia Coffill | 15.0% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 23.1% | 16.7% | 4.2% |
| Julia Marich | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.