← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.51+7.10vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.38+1.35vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.97+1.30vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.23+2.22vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.52+0.59vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.79-1.19vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.97-0.05vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.33-1.98vs Predicted
-
9Yale University0.62+1.41vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.28-3.78vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.07+0.51vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.05-4.95vs Predicted
-
14Wesleyan University-1.20-0.34vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-1.29-1.31vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut-0.26-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.1Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
-
3.35Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
-
4.3Roger Williams University2.970.2%1st Place
-
6.22Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.59University of Rhode Island2.520.1%1st Place
-
4.81Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
6.95Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
-
6.02Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
-
10.41Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
-
6.22Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
11.51McGill University0.070.0%1st Place
-
7.05Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
13.66Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
13.69University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
-
12.11University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genevieve Marquardt | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| James Beatty | 23.8% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 16.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 22.0% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 21.8% | 23.4% | 15.1% | 4.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 29.1% | 41.1% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 27.5% | 42.5% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 17.0% | 27.4% | 20.4% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.