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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+0.36vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+3.34vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.35+2.69vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.16vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.38-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.32-1.98vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.72-1.93vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-0.78-0.80vs Predicted
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9East Carolina University-2.34-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36College of Charleston3.840.7%1st Place
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5.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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5.69The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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3.84Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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3.91North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.02University of South Carolina1.320.1%1st Place
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5.07Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.2Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.57East Carolina University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 72.5% | 21.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.2% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 11.0% | 1.4% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 2.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 25.2% | 14.9% | 2.4% |
| John Reddaway | 6.3% | 18.8% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| David Rogers | 6.4% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 6.1% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Katsis | 3.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 15.0% | 48.1% | 15.1% |
| Landon Winstead III | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 10.8% | 79.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.