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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+0.33vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38+2.14vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.06vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.72-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.32-1.95vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-0.78+0.26vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.35-2.37vs Predicted
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9East Carolina University-2.34-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.33College of Charleston3.840.8%1st Place
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4.14North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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3.99Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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5.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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4.95Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.05University of South Carolina1.320.1%1st Place
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7.26Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.63The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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8.58East Carolina University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 75.3% | 18.2% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 4.0% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 5.7% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Katsis | 3.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 5.8% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 49.4% | 15.0% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 2.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 23.2% | 16.3% | 2.4% |
| Landon Winstead III | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 12.3% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.