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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.46+0.92vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.84+2.03vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.89+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-0.25vs Predicted
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5Duke University1.19-1.57vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+2.06vs Predicted
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7East Carolina University0.02-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.52-0.31vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.97-0.66vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.96-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92College of Charleston2.460.5%1st Place
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4.03The Citadel0.840.1%1st Place
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4.01North Carolina State University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
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3.43Duke University1.190.1%1st Place
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8.06Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.41East Carolina University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.69University of South Carolina-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.34Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tily Milburn | 48.8% | 27.4% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Winkler | 9.7% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 10.6% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 10.4% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 14.2% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 26.4% | 22.8% |
| Sarah Parker | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 25.9% | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Tanner Zelman | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 19.3% | 26.3% | 20.1% | 15.4% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 25.1% | 30.0% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 24.8% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.