Race 2B

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tily Milburn 48.9% 27.2% 13.4% 6.1% 2.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Winkler 10.1% 12.4% 17.9% 17.9% 16.7% 15.5% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Vincent Miao 13.5% 18.6% 19.8% 18.2% 15.1% 11.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Mark Thompson 9.0% 15.1% 17.6% 19.1% 18.7% 11.9% 6.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Kailey Savacool 12.3% 17.3% 17.7% 19.6% 17.0% 10.9% 4.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
James Elder 0.6% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 3.5% 6.8% 15.1% 18.9% 25.8% 24.3%
Sarah Parker 3.9% 5.0% 8.4% 10.6% 17.1% 25.7% 17.9% 8.4% 2.4% 0.6%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 5.5% 14.3% 21.0% 22.8% 29.6%
Erica Trotter 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 4.7% 13.1% 19.5% 25.2% 31.0%
Tanner Zelman 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 4.0% 6.3% 18.8% 27.2% 22.7% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.