Race 6B

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hunter Mumma 7.8% 9.4% 11.0% 6.9% 9.3% 9.4% 8.8% 8.3% 9.5% 5.8% 6.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9%
Christopher Price 12.0% 11.4% 9.2% 11.5% 9.8% 8.4% 9.7% 8.2% 7.2% 5.7% 3.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Rian Bareuther 10.9% 10.5% 9.5% 9.2% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.1% 7.3% 7.4% 4.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Andrew Moakes 6.4% 7.2% 8.3% 7.6% 8.3% 8.8% 9.3% 8.2% 8.1% 9.0% 8.3% 6.0% 3.9% 0.6%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.3% 13.9% 12.9% 12.2% 9.9% 9.5% 7.6% 7.1% 6.2% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Billy Rohman 7.5% 7.7% 8.4% 7.6% 9.6% 8.6% 9.4% 9.1% 8.5% 7.8% 6.6% 5.8% 3.1% 0.3%
James Altreuter 9.7% 10.0% 8.3% 9.8% 9.7% 8.2% 9.0% 8.6% 7.7% 7.7% 5.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Andrew Kurzrok 9.7% 8.9% 9.1% 9.8% 7.5% 8.3% 7.9% 8.9% 7.8% 8.0% 6.9% 4.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Trevor Burd 12.0% 10.9% 11.6% 11.6% 10.3% 9.9% 8.5% 8.0% 6.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Edward Moan 2.3% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 6.4% 7.8% 10.1% 15.2% 20.4% 17.8%
Nicholas Dragone 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 4.4% 5.7% 5.4% 5.2% 7.2% 7.9% 9.4% 12.8% 13.2% 13.4% 5.8%
Justin Marks 2.8% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 3.4% 5.3% 6.1% 6.8% 6.7% 11.1% 11.2% 15.3% 12.6% 9.0%
Tyler Nemsdale 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% 3.6% 3.5% 3.8% 6.2% 8.0% 11.2% 16.0% 18.7% 16.4%
Natalie Fohl 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 3.7% 3.7% 7.9% 7.8% 18.0% 47.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.