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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.44+0.97vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.45-0.01vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.30+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.59-1.84vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Columbia University0.4443.8%1st Place
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3.37Princeton University-0.3213.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Maryland-0.4518.5%1st Place
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4.13SUNY Stony Brook-1.306.5%1st Place
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3.16University of Delaware-0.5916.1%1st Place
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5.39Monmouth University-2.582.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 43.8% | 29.2% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 13.1% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 23.6% | 19.4% | 6.1% |
| Sophie Grigg | 18.5% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 13.6% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Dimont | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 32.6% | 16.7% |
| Olivia Coffill | 16.1% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 4.2% |
| Julia Marich | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.