Race 3B

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tily Milburn 46.7% 26.7% 12.6% 8.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Winkler 9.6% 11.4% 16.3% 15.4% 14.5% 16.9% 9.6% 5.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Mark Thompson 9.6% 12.7% 14.0% 14.9% 16.0% 16.1% 12.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Joshua Kim 4.0% 7.2% 11.1% 11.7% 14.5% 17.4% 20.3% 10.0% 3.2% 0.6%
Vincent Miao 13.1% 19.3% 16.7% 17.5% 14.9% 9.9% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Sarah Parker 4.8% 5.9% 7.6% 8.8% 12.6% 15.1% 22.8% 15.8% 5.5% 1.1%
Kailey Savacool 10.3% 14.7% 18.2% 17.8% 15.6% 12.9% 7.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 6.3% 18.6% 28.9% 37.2%
Tanner Zelman 1.1% 0.9% 2.0% 1.9% 3.3% 3.7% 9.1% 26.0% 30.9% 21.1%
Erica Trotter 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.5% 3.9% 5.9% 16.0% 28.8% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.