Race 4B

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tily Milburn 46.1% 27.0% 13.7% 7.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Winkler 9.5% 11.0% 16.9% 15.5% 15.8% 13.7% 11.5% 5.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Mark Thompson 9.5% 12.6% 14.1% 15.7% 17.2% 14.9% 11.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Vincent Miao 12.1% 18.1% 18.9% 17.2% 15.1% 10.3% 6.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Kailey Savacool 11.7% 16.3% 15.0% 18.3% 15.2% 12.4% 7.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Sarah Parker 4.8% 5.5% 8.1% 8.9% 10.3% 17.6% 22.6% 14.9% 6.2% 1.1%
Joshua Kim 4.6% 6.7% 10.5% 11.3% 14.4% 18.6% 20.1% 10.5% 2.6% 0.7%
Erica Trotter 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.4% 5.6% 18.7% 29.3% 36.8%
Tanner Zelman 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 4.6% 7.9% 26.3% 31.1% 21.3%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 1.2% 2.7% 3.5% 6.3% 16.5% 28.2% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.