Race 5B

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tily Milburn 49.7% 26.5% 13.7% 6.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Thompson 10.0% 14.5% 18.0% 17.0% 18.5% 14.0% 6.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Vincent Miao 14.0% 18.3% 18.9% 18.8% 16.1% 9.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Camryn Darland 8.9% 15.8% 17.7% 19.8% 15.7% 14.5% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
James Elder 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 3.7% 5.2% 17.3% 19.3% 24.6% 24.0%
Sarah Parker 5.1% 6.8% 8.2% 9.9% 16.5% 23.3% 17.2% 10.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Austin Winkler 9.4% 13.5% 17.6% 19.7% 17.7% 13.8% 6.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Tanner Zelman 0.6% 1.2% 2.9% 2.3% 4.8% 8.0% 17.7% 25.4% 21.7% 15.4%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 4.4% 12.9% 20.9% 25.2% 30.0%
Erica Trotter 0.4% 1.2% 0.7% 1.6% 3.1% 5.9% 12.9% 18.8% 25.6% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.