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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.46+0.91vs Predicted
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2Duke University1.19+1.51vs Predicted
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3East Carolina University0.02+2.40vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+4.11vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.89-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-2.27vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.84-2.98vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.52-0.29vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.97-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.96-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91College of Charleston2.460.5%1st Place
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3.51Duke University1.190.1%1st Place
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5.4East Carolina University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.11Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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3.94North Carolina State University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
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4.02The Citadel0.840.1%1st Place
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7.71University of South Carolina-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.35Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tily Milburn | 49.8% | 25.4% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 13.4% | 17.9% | 22.5% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Parker | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 26.0% | 19.8% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 25.6% | 22.9% |
| Mark Thompson | 10.5% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Savacool | 11.6% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Winkler | 8.6% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Zelman | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 25.8% | 21.9% | 15.0% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 25.6% | 30.4% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 23.3% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.