Race 7B

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Kurzrok 8.4% 8.9% 10.4% 9.3% 8.2% 9.1% 10.1% 9.4% 8.6% 5.4% 4.6% 4.4% 2.5% 0.7%
James Altreuter 10.0% 9.4% 9.1% 8.8% 8.1% 9.6% 8.3% 9.4% 8.9% 7.2% 5.4% 3.5% 2.0% 0.3%
Christopher Price 10.9% 10.3% 10.9% 9.3% 9.8% 8.1% 10.6% 8.7% 6.3% 6.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Hunter Mumma 7.1% 8.0% 8.3% 10.7% 8.1% 10.8% 8.6% 8.4% 8.2% 7.3% 6.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.3%
Rian Bareuther 8.2% 10.1% 10.8% 10.3% 10.3% 9.2% 8.3% 7.1% 7.7% 7.8% 4.9% 2.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Andrew Moakes 7.8% 5.5% 7.7% 7.0% 9.1% 8.4% 9.0% 9.8% 7.7% 8.3% 10.2% 5.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Billy Rohman 8.8% 9.6% 9.1% 9.1% 7.8% 8.2% 9.2% 9.5% 8.2% 8.1% 6.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 15.0% 14.4% 10.7% 11.5% 10.2% 9.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 3.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Justin Marks 4.1% 3.3% 1.6% 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 7.0% 7.6% 9.5% 12.3% 16.2% 13.5% 8.0%
Edward Moan 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 6.0% 8.1% 9.9% 13.9% 21.8% 18.0%
Nicholas Dragone 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 4.0% 5.2% 5.6% 6.5% 5.8% 7.7% 11.0% 10.7% 14.4% 12.2% 6.3%
Trevor Burd 11.6% 11.9% 12.3% 10.9% 10.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.7% 6.8% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Tyler Nemsdale 2.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 3.5% 4.5% 5.8% 7.3% 12.4% 15.4% 18.5% 16.4%
Natalie Fohl 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 5.4% 6.3% 8.8% 17.8% 47.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.