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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.44+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.45+0.94vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.59-0.84vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-0.86vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Columbia University0.4443.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Maryland-0.4519.2%1st Place
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3.42Princeton University-0.3212.3%1st Place
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3.16University of Delaware-0.5915.4%1st Place
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4.14SUNY Stony Brook-1.307.6%1st Place
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5.33Monmouth University-2.582.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 43.2% | 27.5% | 18.1% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Grigg | 19.2% | 22.4% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 3.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 12.3% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 25.5% | 19.2% | 6.4% |
| Olivia Coffill | 15.4% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 15.7% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Dimont | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 34.6% | 17.4% |
| Julia Marich | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 15.2% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.