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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.32+2.43vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.44-0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.45-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.59-0.87vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-2.58+0.37vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Princeton University-0.3212.2%1st Place
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1.98Columbia University0.4442.9%1st Place
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2.96University of Maryland-0.4519.4%1st Place
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3.13University of Delaware-0.5915.7%1st Place
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5.37Monmouth University-2.582.1%1st Place
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4.12SUNY Stony Brook-1.307.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Mraz | 12.2% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 22.7% | 21.6% | 6.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 42.9% | 29.3% | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Grigg | 19.4% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Coffill | 15.7% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 23.2% | 14.2% | 4.3% |
| Julia Marich | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 15.4% | 68.7% |
| Sophia Dimont | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 33.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.