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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.60+3.39vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.77+2.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+1.08vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.78-1.91vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87-0.03vs Predicted
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8American University1.26-1.95vs Predicted
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9Hampton University-0.35+0.17vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.71-5.03vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-0.09-2.28vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-2.21-0.56vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.62-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.06George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.08Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.09George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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6.97William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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6.05American University1.260.1%1st Place
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9.17Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.97Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.72Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Pittsburgh-2.210.0%1st Place
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9.71Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 37.4% | 25.7% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam White | 23.6% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Boo Devanny | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 27.3% | 6.6% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 20.2% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Barrett | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 77.6% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 22.8% | 35.5% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.