Race 2A

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
AJ Reiter 36.0% 25.1% 19.5% 9.7% 6.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boo Devanny 4.4% 5.2% 9.3% 9.1% 11.5% 13.7% 14.9% 14.9% 10.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Daniel Birmingham 8.7% 7.6% 10.9% 12.3% 14.5% 15.0% 12.8% 11.2% 5.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Jay Spector 6.8% 10.8% 12.7% 14.2% 14.4% 13.2% 11.6% 9.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Patrick Mazzeo 2.6% 5.1% 4.6% 7.0% 8.4% 10.7% 12.9% 16.6% 15.1% 11.4% 4.7% 0.9%
Spencer Nora 7.2% 8.7% 10.0% 12.0% 13.0% 14.2% 14.2% 10.8% 6.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Sam White 22.8% 23.4% 17.8% 15.4% 9.4% 6.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Stapp 8.5% 10.5% 10.7% 14.4% 12.9% 13.9% 11.1% 9.6% 6.1% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 3.0% 3.6% 5.7% 9.1% 16.5% 27.9% 24.5% 5.0%
Kris Rodriguez 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 2.8% 4.1% 5.3% 13.3% 20.6% 34.9% 11.3%
Sarah Seski 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 1.4% 4.2% 4.5% 6.6% 10.2% 19.3% 23.3% 20.9% 5.3%
Aidan Barrett 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 5.0% 10.8% 77.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.