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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.71+4.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.77+2.97vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.74+2.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29-1.63vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.78-2.94vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.60-1.69vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.87-1.28vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.09-0.44vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-0.35-0.97vs Predicted
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11American University1.26-5.02vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.38-1.50vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.21-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.97George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.0Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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2.37Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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3.06George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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6.72William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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8.56Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.03Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.98American University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.5Virginia Tech-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Pittsburgh-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Birmingham | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 8.9% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 37.0% | 25.8% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 21.8% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Seski | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 22.3% | 25.6% | 13.8% | 3.3% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 31.6% | 18.3% | 3.4% |
| Boo Devanny | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Allie Howe | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 15.6% | 42.5% | 26.3% |
| Aidan Barrett | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 20.9% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.