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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.71+3.08vs Predicted
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3American University1.26+3.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.30vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.78-1.95vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.77-1.06vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74-2.03vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.87-1.24vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.09-0.41vs Predicted
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11Hampton University-0.35-1.96vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.38-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.21-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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5.08Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.02American University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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3.05George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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4.94George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.97Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.76William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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8.59Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.04Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.53Virginia Tech-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Pittsburgh-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 35.3% | 26.1% | 19.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boo Devanny | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 23.7% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 27.5% | 12.6% | 1.4% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 17.1% | 33.3% | 19.3% | 4.2% |
| Allie Howe | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 42.5% | 27.7% |
| Aidan Barrett | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 20.7% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.