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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.36vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.71+3.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.60+2.28vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78-0.94vs Predicted
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5American University1.26+1.07vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.74-0.98vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.77-3.13vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.87-2.29vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.09-1.48vs Predicted
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11Hampton University-0.35-2.07vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.38-1.64vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-3.36-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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5.08Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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3.06George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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6.07American University1.260.0%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.87George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.71William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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8.52Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.93Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.36Virginia Tech-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Pittsburgh-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 36.4% | 24.9% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 22.0% | 24.1% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boo Devanny | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 24.1% | 27.6% | 11.4% | 0.5% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 18.5% | 33.1% | 19.5% | 1.3% |
| Allie Howe | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 56.8% | 12.0% |
| Katherine Deats | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 8.3% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.