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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.36vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+1.11vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.74+1.99vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87+2.80vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.71+0.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.60-0.71vs Predicted
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7American University1.26-1.06vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.77-3.15vs Predicted
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9Hampton University-0.35-0.04vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-0.09-2.50vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.38-1.65vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-3.36-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Georgetown University3.290.3%1st Place
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3.11George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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4.99Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.8William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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5.11Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.94American University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.85George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.96Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.5Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.35Virginia Tech-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Pittsburgh-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 34.5% | 28.0% | 18.8% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 21.4% | 23.6% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Boo Devanny | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 33.7% | 17.3% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 22.9% | 27.6% | 13.5% | 0.7% |
| Allie Howe | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 15.2% | 56.7% | 11.6% |
| Katherine Deats | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 9.0% | 86.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.