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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.35vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+1.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.77+2.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.34vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.71+0.11vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.87+0.97vs Predicted
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8American University1.26-1.99vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.09-0.28vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-0.35-0.79vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.62-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-2.21-0.58vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.74-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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3.1George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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5.02George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.11Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.97William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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6.01American University1.260.1%1st Place
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8.72Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.21Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.63Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Pittsburgh-2.210.0%1st Place
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5.12Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 37.1% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 21.5% | 24.9% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Boo Devanny | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Seski | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 4.4% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 25.8% | 24.9% | 6.4% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.6% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 35.2% | 12.2% |
| Aidan Barrett | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 76.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.