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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.36vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+1.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.60+2.35vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.71+1.13vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+0.09vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.87+0.93vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77-2.10vs Predicted
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8American University1.26-1.97vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.09-1.27vs Predicted
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11Hampton University-0.35-1.83vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.62-2.25vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.21-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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3.12George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.13Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.09Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.93William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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4.9George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.03American University1.260.1%1st Place
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8.73Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.17Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.75Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Pittsburgh-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 35.9% | 26.8% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 20.7% | 23.7% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Jay Spector | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Boo Devanny | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 24.2% | 18.5% | 3.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 24.4% | 27.1% | 6.4% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 21.4% | 35.4% | 12.8% |
| Aidan Barrett | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 11.7% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.