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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.77+3.98vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+3.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.29-0.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.32vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.87+1.82vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.71-0.90vs Predicted
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7American University1.26-1.08vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.78-4.93vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.09-0.42vs Predicted
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11Hampton University-0.35-1.98vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.38-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.21-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.0Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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2.33Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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6.82William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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5.1Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.92American University1.260.1%1st Place
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3.07George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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8.58Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.02Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.53Virginia Tech-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Pittsburgh-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Spector | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 36.6% | 27.0% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Boo Devanny | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 22.9% | 23.4% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 23.5% | 26.3% | 12.6% | 1.4% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 33.6% | 18.9% | 4.1% |
| Allie Howe | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 14.2% | 42.4% | 27.6% |
| Aidan Barrett | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 20.6% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.