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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.37vs Predicted
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2American University1.26+4.01vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.77+1.96vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+0.98vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.78-1.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.60-0.69vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87-0.25vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.71-3.96vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.09-1.37vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.38-0.57vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-0.35-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.21-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Georgetown University3.290.4%1st Place
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6.01American University1.260.0%1st Place
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4.96George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.06George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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6.75William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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5.04Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.63Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.43Virginia Tech-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.16Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Pittsburgh-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 35.2% | 26.5% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boo Devanny | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jay Spector | 9.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 22.4% | 25.2% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 22.4% | 27.0% | 13.6% | 1.8% |
| Allie Howe | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 16.7% | 39.9% | 26.2% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 17.5% | 30.1% | 21.4% | 5.8% |
| Aidan Barrett | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 20.6% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.